AKE 完整分析报告
生成于 2026-09-08 03:37 CST · 捉妖器
0.015923
+9.1% 24h
量 $169.9M
二轮吸筹·手法反转
平空/勿追空
一、K线形态分析(近14日)
| 日期 | 开盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 收盘 | 涨跌 | 振幅 | 量 | 标注 |
|---|
| 08/25 | 0.008596 | 0.009746 | 0.00816 | 0.008611 | +0.2% | 19.4% | 4,471,224K | 缩量 十字星 长上影 |
| 08/26 | 0.00861 | 0.00935 | 0.00486 | 0.007659 | -11.0% | 92.4% | 13,083,143K | 中阴 长下影 |
| 08/27 | 0.007658 | 0.009039 | 0.005955 | 0.006855 | -10.5% | 51.8% | 15,904,059K | 中阴 |
| 08/28 | 0.006854 | 0.011292 | 0.006651 | 0.011164 | +62.9% | 69.8% | 14,783,728K | 大阳 |
| 08/29 | 0.011166 | 0.0123 | 0.007904 | 0.008102 | -27.4% | 55.6% | 22,020,914K | 大阴 |
| 08/30 | 0.008102 | 0.008854 | 0.007718 | 0.007935 | -2.1% | 14.7% | 5,135,175K | 十字星 长上影 |
| 08/31 | 0.007936 | 0.008221 | 0.007523 | 0.008111 | +2.2% | 9.3% | 3,364,743K | 缩量 长下影 |
| 09/01 | 0.008114 | 0.009065 | 0.007917 | 0.008744 | +7.8% | 14.5% | 5,380,281K | |
| 09/02 | 0.008744 | 0.044859 | 0.0076 | 0.016551 | +89.3% | 490.2% | 65,021,719K | 放量 大阳 长上影 ★新高 |
| 09/03 | 0.01655 | 0.017755 | 0.012401 | 0.014898 | -10.0% | 43.2% | 24,605,245K | |
| 09/04 | 0.014901 | 0.015432 | 0.012694 | 0.013253 | -11.1% | 21.6% | 4,900,910K | 中阴 |
| 09/05 | 0.013254 | 0.021675 | 0.012775 | 0.018618 | +40.5% | 69.7% | 23,856,912K | 大阳 |
| 09/06 | 0.018611 | 0.018654 | 0.013051 | 0.013832 | -25.7% | 42.9% | 8,967,955K | 大阴 |
| 09/07 | 0.013833 | 0.01765 | 0.011333 | 0.015923 | +15.1% | 55.7% | 10,385,262K | 中阳 |
- 14日总涨幅+85%(垂直加速)
- 周平均K:当前连阳8周 | 该币史最长8周(26/07/13~26/08/31,+7078%) ——受控抬轿指纹,维持周线连阳可能即操盘目标(在册周线榜:ESPORTS 22周+352%/US 15周+1163%进行中),终结常伴剧烈变盘
二、持仓量(OI)趋势
| 日期 | OI | 日变化 |
|---|
| 08/09 | $23.8M | |
| 08/10 | $24.6M | +3.5% |
| 08/11 | $23.6M | -4.2% |
| 08/12 | $25.2M | +6.9% |
| 08/13 | $23.6M | -6.6% |
| 08/14 | $40.9M | +73.4% |
| 08/15 | $45.1M | +10.3% |
| 08/16 | $41.8M | -7.2% |
| 08/17 | $39.9M | -4.6% |
| 08/18 | $36.2M | -9.2% |
| 08/19 | $36.6M | +0.9% |
| 08/20 | $32.3M | -11.8% |
| 08/21 | $31.2M | -3.1% |
| 08/22 | $29.7M | -4.9% |
| 08/23 | $30.7M | +3.2% |
| 08/24 | $30.5M | -0.7% |
| 08/25 | $30.7M | +0.7% |
| 08/26 | $31.3M | +2.1% |
| 08/27 | $27.7M | -11.5% |
| 08/28 | $25.8M | -6.9% |
| 08/29 | $42.5M | +64.8% |
| 08/30 | $27.8M | -34.5% |
| 08/31 | $26.7M | -4.0% |
| 09/01 | $27.6M | +3.3% |
| 09/02 | $30.1M | +9.0% |
| 09/03 | $42.6M | +41.7% |
| 09/04 | $32.3M | -24.3% |
| 09/05 | $28.2M | -12.7% |
| 09/06 | $31.9M | +13.1% |
| 09/07 | $22.0M | -31.1% |
- 当前OI $22.0M,占近30日峰值的49%
- 近7天OI变化-20%
- 最近1日OI变化-31%
- 4h粒度:近24h OI加速上涨+8%
- 价涨OI跌:上涨靠空头平仓驱动,非新多入场,动力减弱
三、聪明钱 · 巨鲸 & 交易员调仓
| 时间 | 侧 | 多鲸 | 空鲸 | 多员 | 空员 | 多成本 | 空成本 |
|---|
| 08/05 00:02 | 空 | 58 | 74 | 257 | 278 | 0.00432411 | 0.00436517 |
| 08/07 09:48 | 空 | 49 | 50 | 239 | 202 | 0.00418563 | 0.00423832 |
| 08/09 19:48 | 多 | 52 | 50 | 218 | 212 | 0.00405805 | 0.00411602 |
| 08/12 05:48 | 空 | 50 | 52 | 257 | 241 | 0.00415292 | 0.00415457 |
| 08/14 15:48 | 空 | 69 | 110 | 627 | 987 | 0.0082111 | 0.00981813 |
| 08/17 01:48 | 多 | 68 | 52 | 438 | 412 | 0.00993575 | 0.0102325 |
| 08/19 11:48 | 空 | 52 | 66 | 296 | 358 | 0.00914448 | 0.00937226 |
| 08/21 21:48 | 空 | 105 | 80 | 217 | 261 | 0.0083704 | 0.00850462 |
| 08/24 07:33 | 空 | 72 | 122 | 205 | 264 | 0.00860826 | 0.00860505 |
| 08/26 17:33 | 多 | 125 | 78 | 327 | 257 | 0.00827068 | 0.00886709 |
| 08/29 03:33 | 空 | 98 | 135 | 426 | 433 | 0.00885903 | 0.00965056 |
| 08/31 13:33 | 多 | 89 | 117 | 256 | 259 | 0.007999 | 0.00799593 |
| 09/02 23:33 | 空 | 111 | 184 | 603 | 898 | 0.0222591 | 0.0250566 |
| 09/05 09:33 | 空 | 102 | 173 | 467 | 579 | 0.0178882 | 0.020214 |
| 09/07 19:33 | 空 | 99 | 81 | 217 | 203 | 0.0147516 | 0.0153119 |
- 数据跨度812小时(3247个快照)
- 多头巨鲸 58→99(+41)
- 空头巨鲸 74→81(+7)
- 多头交易员 257→217(-40)
- 空头交易员 278→203(-75)
- 多头成本 0.004324→0.01475(+241.1%)
- 空头成本 0.004365→0.01531(+250.8%)
- 多头浮盈亏 +7.9%
- 空头浮盈亏 -4.0%
四、资金费率走势
| 时间 | 费率 | |
|---|
| 09/04 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/04 20:00 | 0.0297% | |
| 09/05 00:00 | 0.0082% | |
| 09/05 04:00 | 0.0168% | |
| 09/05 08:00 | 0.0135% | |
| 09/05 12:00 | -0.1609% | |
| 09/05 16:00 | -0.0412% | |
| 09/05 20:00 | -0.2299% | |
| 09/06 00:00 | -0.1287% | |
| 09/06 04:00 | -0.0414% | |
| 09/06 08:00 | -0.0551% | |
| 09/06 12:00 | -0.0125% | |
| 09/06 16:00 | -0.0722% | |
| 09/06 20:00 | -0.1296% | |
| 09/07 00:00 | -0.3228% | |
| 09/07 04:00 | -0.2738% | |
| 09/07 08:00 | -0.3283% | |
| 09/07 12:00 | -0.3982% | |
| 09/07 16:00 | -0.1757% | |
| 09/07 20:00 | -0.0848% | |
| 09/08 00:00 | -0.0233% | |
- 当前费率中性 -0.023%
- 费率近期加速下降——空头加码
五、阶段研判 · 机会裁决
阶段二轮吸筹·手法反转
信号起始09-07 08:02 @ 0.013981 · 至今+14.0%
置信度low
空单目标仓位0%
机会裁决COVER · 平空/勿追空
周期第2轮 · 237.6×
垂直爆发已疯 (196%)
OI$22.0M (峰值49%)
距本轮峰值64.5% · 5天
二轮风险低 · 5%
价格可操纵度93%
深盘锚定7%
观察到的迹象
- 二轮启动迹象(2/4信号): 自7日低点+82%
- 近3日低点抬高(筑底)
- 近4h空头爆仓主导($0.43M,占66%)
- 二轮启动风险[低]≈5%:未见反弹动量,余震消退中
- 聪明钱存量空头被深套-18%($3.7M)——价格再涨会爆他们的仓,上插针强平风险高
- 周平均K已连阳8周(该币史最长8周)——受控抬轿指纹,维持周线连阳可能即操盘目标(US案例),终结常伴剧烈变盘
操作建议: OI在重建(逼空重启),不是纯反弹——手法反转,该平掉空单观望
六、综合研判
信号统计: 2个看涨 vs 2个看跌
看涨信号
- 4h粒度:近24h OI加速上涨+8%
- 阶段裁决:平空/勿追空
看跌 / 警惕信号
- 周平均K:当前连阳8周 | 该币史最长8周(26/07/13~26/08/31,+7078%) ——受控抬轿指纹,维持周线连阳可能即操盘目标(在册周线榜:ESPORTS 22周+352%/US 15周+1163%进行中),终结常伴剧烈变盘
- 价涨OI跌:上涨靠空头平仓驱动,非新多入场,动力减弱
场景推演
余震归零
持续阴跌+OI不重建 → 持底仓空
二轮拉升
OI爆炸式重建+垂直反弹 → 立即平空