BLUAI 完整分析报告
生成于 2026-09-08 03:36 CST · 捉妖器
0.010329
-16.3% 24h
量 $16.1M
余震
观察·勿新开空
一、K线形态分析(近14日)
| 日期 | 开盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 收盘 | 涨跌 | 振幅 | 量 | 标注 |
|---|
| 08/25 | 0.013006 | 0.013509 | 0.012852 | 0.013126 | +0.9% | 5.1% | 132,401K | 长上影 |
| 08/26 | 0.013125 | 0.013827 | 0.011957 | 0.01224 | -6.7% | 15.6% | 333,719K | |
| 08/27 | 0.01224 | 0.012598 | 0.011654 | 0.01186 | -3.1% | 8.1% | 211,432K | |
| 08/28 | 0.011865 | 0.01351 | 0.011814 | 0.012792 | +7.8% | 14.4% | 411,141K | |
| 08/29 | 0.012798 | 0.013417 | 0.012413 | 0.013286 | +3.8% | 8.1% | 231,654K | |
| 08/30 | 0.013282 | 0.01397 | 0.012446 | 0.012558 | -5.5% | 12.2% | 181,990K | |
| 08/31 | 0.012558 | 0.013047 | 0.01212 | 0.012328 | -1.8% | 7.6% | 103,166K | 长上影 |
| 09/01 | 0.012332 | 0.012673 | 0.012036 | 0.012578 | +2.0% | 5.3% | 70,230K | |
| 09/02 | 0.012582 | 0.014115 | 0.012316 | 0.0129 | +2.5% | 14.6% | 480,160K | 长上影 ★新高 |
| 09/03 | 0.012902 | 0.013311 | 0.012102 | 0.013085 | +1.4% | 10.0% | 183,417K | 长下影 |
| 09/04 | 0.013085 | 0.013128 | 0.012112 | 0.012329 | -5.8% | 8.4% | 159,030K | |
| 09/05 | 0.012329 | 0.012804 | 0.012156 | 0.012721 | +3.2% | 5.3% | 105,402K | |
| 09/06 | 0.012721 | 0.012785 | 0.012176 | 0.012316 | -3.2% | 5.0% | 97,234K | |
| 09/07 | 0.012316 | 0.012449 | 0.009003 | 0.010329 | -16.1% | 38.3% | 1,590,039K | 放量 中阴 |
- 周平均K:当前连阳0周 | 该币史最长7周(26/04/06~26/05/18,+52%)
二、持仓量(OI)趋势
| 日期 | OI | 日变化 |
|---|
| 08/09 | $13.2M | |
| 08/10 | $10.5M | -20.1% |
| 08/11 | $17.3M | +63.9% |
| 08/12 | $8.7M | -49.6% |
| 08/13 | $8.4M | -3.3% |
| 08/14 | $8.3M | -1.3% |
| 08/15 | $7.9M | -5.2% |
| 08/16 | $7.0M | -11.0% |
| 08/17 | $7.4M | +5.9% |
| 08/18 | $7.1M | -4.5% |
| 08/19 | $7.2M | +1.7% |
| 08/20 | $7.0M | -3.7% |
| 08/21 | $7.3M | +5.1% |
| 08/22 | $7.4M | +1.2% |
| 08/23 | $6.8M | -7.8% |
| 08/24 | $6.9M | +1.7% |
| 08/25 | $6.9M | -0.3% |
| 08/26 | $6.9M | +0.1% |
| 08/27 | $6.7M | -3.5% |
| 08/28 | $6.5M | -2.3% |
| 08/29 | $6.8M | +4.6% |
| 08/30 | $7.0M | +2.1% |
| 08/31 | $6.6M | -5.8% |
| 09/01 | $6.4M | -2.4% |
| 09/02 | $6.5M | +1.3% |
| 09/03 | $6.5M | +0.5% |
| 09/04 | $6.9M | +5.0% |
| 09/05 | $6.6M | -4.0% |
| 09/06 | $6.9M | +5.1% |
| 09/07 | $6.6M | -3.9% |
- 当前OI $6.6M,占近30日峰值的38%
- 近7天OI变化+4%
- 最近1日OI变化-4%
- 4h粒度:近24h OI加速下跌-14%
三、聪明钱 · 巨鲸 & 交易员调仓
| 时间 | 侧 | 多鲸 | 空鲸 | 多员 | 空员 | 多成本 | 空成本 |
|---|
| 08/05 00:02 | 多 | 26 | 22 | 75 | 83 | 0.0124162 | 0.0124112 |
| 08/09 19:18 | 多 | 50 | 48 | 381 | 376 | 0.0216385 | 0.0216737 |
| 08/12 00:48 | 空 | 65 | 58 | 591 | 482 | 0.0205524 | 0.0253162 |
| 08/14 06:18 | 多 | 47 | 51 | 223 | 198 | 0.0128074 | 0.0132641 |
| 08/16 11:48 | 空 | 46 | 30 | 208 | 111 | 0.0124872 | 0.0124449 |
| 08/18 17:33 | 多 | 32 | 38 | 163 | 118 | 0.012999 | 0.0129872 |
| 08/20 23:03 | 多 | 29 | 34 | 75 | 134 | 0.0129134 | 0.0128061 |
| 08/23 04:33 | 空 | 52 | 66 | 134 | 175 | 0.012494 | 0.0126546 |
| 08/25 10:03 | 空 | 44 | 33 | 89 | 101 | 0.0131366 | 0.013151 |
| 08/27 15:33 | 多 | 71 | 40 | 181 | 128 | 0.0124763 | 0.0122715 |
| 08/29 21:18 | 空 | 37 | 82 | 104 | 150 | 0.0128045 | 0.0129256 |
| 09/01 02:48 | 多 | 29 | 48 | 95 | 96 | 0.0126109 | 0.0126486 |
| 09/03 08:18 | 多 | 63 | 55 | 157 | 140 | 0.0129156 | 0.0130562 |
| 09/05 13:48 | 空 | 37 | 84 | 120 | 143 | 0.0123278 | 0.0124712 |
| 09/07 19:33 | 多 | 62 | 45 | 122 | 146 | 0.0103016 | 0.00958317 |
- 数据跨度812小时(3000个快照)
- 多头巨鲸 26→62(+36)
- 空头巨鲸 22→45(+23)
- 多头交易员 75→122(+47)
- 空头交易员 83→146(+63)
- 多头成本 0.01242→0.0103(-17.0%)
- 空头成本 0.01241→0.009583(-22.8%)
- 多头浮盈亏 +0.3%
- 空头浮盈亏 -7.8%
四、资金费率走势
| 时间 | 费率 | |
|---|
| 09/04 16:00 | 0.0217% | |
| 09/04 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 00:00 | 0.0105% | |
| 09/05 04:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 08:00 | 0.0201% | |
| 09/05 12:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 16:00 | 0.0245% | |
| 09/05 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 00:00 | 0.0075% | |
| 09/06 04:00 | 0.0337% | |
| 09/06 08:00 | 0.0350% | |
| 09/06 12:00 | 0.0185% | |
| 09/06 16:00 | 0.0184% | |
| 09/06 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 04:00 | 0.0352% | |
| 09/07 08:00 | 0.0263% | |
| 09/07 12:00 | 0.0334% | |
| 09/07 16:00 | 0.0269% | |
| 09/07 20:00 | 0.0266% | |
| 09/08 00:00 | 0.0210% | |
五、阶段研判 · 机会裁决
阶段余震
信号起始08-11 21:47 @ 0.015375 · 至今-32.8%
置信度medium
空单目标仓位0%
机会裁决WATCH · 观察·勿新开空
周期第1轮 · 8.27×
垂直爆发已疯 (147%)
OI$6.6M (峰值38%)
距本轮峰值70.0% · 27天
二轮风险低 · 5%
价格可操纵度88%
深盘锚定12%
类比≈SPORTFUN 见顶前19天
30天腰斩概率0%
观察到的迹象
- 已暴涨又崩、还没死透:第1轮曾拉升8倍(垂直爆发147%),见顶后27天已崩70%,现价仍是最初起点的2.5倍
- 距本轮峰值70%,见顶后27天,进入余震绞肉区
- 近4h多头爆仓主导($0.18M,占61%)
- 二轮启动风险[低]≈5%:未见反弹动量,余震消退中
- 聪明钱存量:巨鲸扎堆做空(124vs43只),空头成本0.01181(浮盈13%)
- 聪明钱存量多头被深套-21%($0.5M)——价格再跌会爆他们的仓,下杀强平燃料
操作建议: 只观察、先不建仓:已暴涨崩过。盯它会不会再拉一轮(那是平空信号)还是彻底归零,别在这里追空(崩后反弹很容易把空单绞掉)
六、综合研判
信号统计: 0个看涨 vs 0个看跌
场景推演
余震归零
持续阴跌+OI不重建 → 持底仓空
二轮拉升
OI爆炸式重建+垂直反弹 → 立即平空