GPS 完整分析报告
生成于 2026-09-08 03:36 CST · 捉妖器
0.010708
+1.3% 24h
量 $3.7M
主跌·收网
观察·勿新开空
一、K线形态分析(近14日)
| 日期 | 开盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 收盘 | 涨跌 | 振幅 | 量 | 标注 |
|---|
| 08/25 | 0.011767 | 0.01235 | 0.0108 | 0.011227 | -4.6% | 14.4% | 1,166,359K | ★新高 |
| 08/26 | 0.011228 | 0.011607 | 0.009276 | 0.009426 | -16.0% | 25.1% | 2,336,226K | 中阴 |
| 08/27 | 0.009427 | 0.0103 | 0.00916 | 0.009424 | -0.0% | 12.4% | 1,715,583K | 十字星 长上影 |
| 08/28 | 0.009424 | 0.009985 | 0.009259 | 0.009661 | +2.5% | 7.8% | 1,161,237K | |
| 08/29 | 0.009659 | 0.009928 | 0.0094 | 0.009433 | -2.3% | 5.6% | 617,649K | 长上影 |
| 08/30 | 0.009433 | 0.009786 | 0.00895 | 0.009612 | +1.9% | 9.3% | 779,844K | 长下影 |
| 08/31 | 0.009613 | 0.009848 | 0.009261 | 0.00968 | +0.7% | 6.3% | 847,173K | 十字星 长下影 |
| 09/01 | 0.009681 | 0.010574 | 0.009535 | 0.010446 | +7.9% | 10.9% | 958,744K | |
| 09/02 | 0.010443 | 0.01099 | 0.009827 | 0.010719 | +2.6% | 11.8% | 1,136,335K | 长下影 |
| 09/03 | 0.010719 | 0.011374 | 0.009543 | 0.010258 | -4.3% | 19.2% | 1,948,303K | |
| 09/04 | 0.010259 | 0.010859 | 0.010023 | 0.010112 | -1.4% | 8.3% | 759,949K | 长上影 |
| 09/05 | 0.010116 | 0.010774 | 0.010113 | 0.010353 | +2.3% | 6.5% | 424,622K | 长上影 |
| 09/06 | 0.010356 | 0.010781 | 0.010325 | 0.01074 | +3.7% | 4.4% | 345,041K | |
| 09/07 | 0.010737 | 0.010944 | 0.010557 | 0.010708 | -0.3% | 3.7% | 303,514K | 缩量 十字星 |
- 近3日均量萎缩至之前的26%(缩量)
- 周平均K:当前连阳0周 | 该币史最长9周(25/12/29~26/02/23,+81%)
二、持仓量(OI)趋势
| 日期 | OI | 日变化 |
|---|
| 08/09 | $6.0M | |
| 08/10 | $5.9M | -2.1% |
| 08/11 | $5.8M | -1.3% |
| 08/12 | $5.9M | +2.1% |
| 08/13 | $6.0M | +1.5% |
| 08/14 | $7.8M | +30.4% |
| 08/15 | $7.1M | -9.6% |
| 08/16 | $7.2M | +1.4% |
| 08/17 | $7.9M | +10.0% |
| 08/18 | $26.8M | +240.1% |
| 08/19 | $30.3M | +13.0% |
| 08/20 | $11.2M | -63.0% |
| 08/21 | $11.8M | +4.8% |
| 08/22 | $10.9M | -7.7% |
| 08/23 | $9.7M | -10.8% |
| 08/24 | $9.6M | -0.9% |
| 08/25 | $9.4M | -2.7% |
| 08/26 | $8.5M | -9.6% |
| 08/27 | $8.6M | +2.3% |
| 08/28 | $9.3M | +7.8% |
| 08/29 | $9.7M | +4.6% |
| 08/30 | $9.6M | -1.9% |
| 08/31 | $10.1M | +5.2% |
| 09/01 | $9.8M | -2.4% |
| 09/02 | $10.6M | +7.7% |
| 09/03 | $10.4M | -1.9% |
| 09/04 | $8.9M | -14.4% |
| 09/05 | $8.7M | -2.5% |
| 09/06 | $8.9M | +2.4% |
| 09/07 | $9.1M | +2.7% |
- 当前OI $9.1M,占近30日峰值的30%
- 近7天OI变化-7%
- 最近1日OI变化+3%
三、聪明钱 · 巨鲸 & 交易员调仓
| 时间 | 侧 | 多鲸 | 空鲸 | 多员 | 空员 | 多成本 | 空成本 |
|---|
| 08/05 00:02 | 多 | 45 | 56 | 129 | 163 | 0.00930026 | 0.00926396 |
| 08/09 19:03 | 空 | 21 | 43 | 73 | 133 | 0.0097696 | 0.00977709 |
| 08/16 19:03 | 空 | 66 | 30 | 237 | 196 | 0.0104295 | 0.0102231 |
| 08/19 12:33 | 空 | 70 | 82 | 433 | 753 | 0.0155865 | 0.0140993 |
| 08/21 06:48 | 多 | 105 | 75 | 266 | 245 | 0.0117334 | 0.0119288 |
| 08/23 00:48 | 多 | 116 | 86 | 292 | 244 | 0.0121914 | 0.0116952 |
| 08/24 18:48 | 多 | 121 | 77 | 260 | 218 | 0.0120962 | 0.0118767 |
| 08/26 13:03 | 多 | 103 | 65 | 258 | 203 | 0.0113413 | 0.0112174 |
| 08/28 07:03 | 多 | 117 | 61 | 236 | 189 | 0.00966373 | 0.00972501 |
| 08/30 01:03 | 空 | 53 | 79 | 156 | 172 | 0.00955147 | 0.0095441 |
| 08/31 19:03 | 多 | 79 | 96 | 205 | 205 | 0.00957433 | 0.00966262 |
| 09/02 13:18 | 空 | 71 | 92 | 209 | 170 | 0.010088 | 0.0101568 |
| 09/04 07:18 | 空 | 108 | 77 | 237 | 248 | 0.0103348 | 0.0105252 |
| 09/06 01:18 | 多 | 56 | 58 | 155 | 162 | 0.010456 | 0.0104912 |
| 09/07 19:33 | 多 | 48 | 42 | 112 | 71 | 0.0108034 | 0.0107864 |
- 数据跨度812小时(2357个快照)
- 多头巨鲸 45→48(+3)
- 空头巨鲸 56→42(-14)
- 多头交易员 129→112(-17)
- 空头交易员 163→71(-92)
- 多头成本 0.0093→0.0108(+16.2%)
- 空头成本 0.009264→0.01079(+16.4%)
- 多头浮盈亏 -0.9%
- 空头浮盈亏 +0.7%
四、资金费率走势
| 时间 | 费率 | |
|---|
| 09/04 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/04 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 04:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 08:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 12:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 04:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 08:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 12:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 04:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 08:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 12:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/08 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
五、阶段研判 · 机会裁决
阶段主跌·收网
信号起始08-19 10:02 @ 0.01427 · 至今-25.0%
置信度medium
空单目标仓位0%
机会裁决WATCH · 观察·勿新开空
周期第1轮 · 4.19×
垂直爆发已疯 (76%)
OI$9.1M (峰值30%)
距本轮峰值43.5% · 20天
二轮风险低 · 5%
价格可操纵度31%
深盘锚定69%
类比≈BMT 见顶前145天
30天腰斩概率0%
观察到的迹象
- 已暴涨又崩、还没死透:第1轮曾拉升4倍(垂直爆发76%),见顶后20天已崩43%,现价仍是最初起点的2.4倍
- 距本轮峰值43%,破位下行
- 费率已回中性/转正0.005%
- 近4h空头爆仓主导($0.02M,占52%)
- 二轮启动风险[低]≈5%:未见反弹动量,余震消退中
操作建议: 只观察、先不建仓:已暴涨崩过。盯它会不会再拉一轮(那是平空信号)还是彻底归零,别在这里追空(崩后反弹很容易把空单绞掉)
六、综合研判
信号统计: 0个看涨 vs 1个看跌
场景推演
继续下跌
OI持续崩+费率中性/正 → 持空
死猫跳反弹
技术性超跌反弹(1-3天)+OI未重建 → 反弹衰竭加空
二轮启动
OI重建+费率再转负+抬高低点 → 平空离场