SKYAI 完整分析报告
生成于 2026-09-08 03:37 CST · 捉妖器
0.05641
-6.4% 24h
量 $3.1M
余震
观望
一、K线形态分析(近14日)
| 日期 | 开盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 收盘 | 涨跌 | 振幅 | 量 | 标注 |
|---|
| 08/25 | 0.05869 | 0.05922 | 0.04363 | 0.04861 | -17.2% | 35.7% | 383,932K | 中阴 |
| 08/26 | 0.04862 | 0.05475 | 0.04848 | 0.05077 | +4.4% | 12.9% | 258,721K | 长上影 |
| 08/27 | 0.05078 | 0.05731 | 0.04952 | 0.05611 | +10.5% | 15.7% | 136,327K | 中阳 |
| 08/28 | 0.05611 | 0.05889 | 0.05171 | 0.05412 | -3.5% | 13.9% | 193,681K | |
| 08/29 | 0.05413 | 0.05792 | 0.05227 | 0.05549 | +2.5% | 10.8% | 99,821K | |
| 08/30 | 0.05549 | 0.05618 | 0.05214 | 0.05324 | -4.1% | 7.7% | 81,066K | |
| 08/31 | 0.05323 | 0.061 | 0.05266 | 0.05372 | +0.9% | 15.8% | 181,590K | 十字星 长上影 |
| 09/01 | 0.05371 | 0.05511 | 0.04885 | 0.05128 | -4.5% | 12.8% | 99,175K | |
| 09/02 | 0.05126 | 0.05872 | 0.04989 | 0.05637 | +10.0% | 17.7% | 208,550K | |
| 09/03 | 0.05634 | 0.062 | 0.05246 | 0.05827 | +3.4% | 18.2% | 194,127K | ★新高 |
| 09/04 | 0.05824 | 0.05966 | 0.05576 | 0.0571 | -2.0% | 7.0% | 59,358K | |
| 09/05 | 0.0571 | 0.06193 | 0.05667 | 0.06185 | +8.3% | 9.3% | 75,965K | |
| 09/06 | 0.06184 | 0.06198 | 0.05809 | 0.06036 | -2.4% | 6.7% | 70,650K | 长下影 ★新高 |
| 09/07 | 0.06034 | 0.06072 | 0.05525 | 0.05641 | -6.5% | 9.9% | 40,451K | 缩量 |
- 近3日均量萎缩至之前的29%(缩量)
- 14日变化-3.9%(横盘整理)
- 周平均K:当前连阳0周 | 该币史最长13周(26/02/16~26/05/11,+739%)
二、持仓量(OI)趋势
| 日期 | OI | 日变化 |
|---|
| 08/09 | $16.8M | |
| 08/10 | $12.7M | -24.1% |
| 08/11 | $12.0M | -5.9% |
| 08/12 | $9.5M | -20.6% |
| 08/13 | $10.5M | +10.5% |
| 08/14 | $10.1M | -3.4% |
| 08/15 | $9.7M | -4.0% |
| 08/16 | $9.2M | -6.0% |
| 08/17 | $9.4M | +3.1% |
| 08/18 | $9.6M | +1.3% |
| 08/19 | $7.3M | -23.7% |
| 08/20 | $9.1M | +24.7% |
| 08/21 | $10.2M | +11.6% |
| 08/22 | $11.1M | +8.9% |
| 08/23 | $8.6M | -22.1% |
| 08/24 | $8.2M | -5.0% |
| 08/25 | $9.2M | +12.4% |
| 08/26 | $7.8M | -14.8% |
| 08/27 | $7.8M | -0.5% |
| 08/28 | $9.2M | +18.5% |
| 08/29 | $8.6M | -6.6% |
| 08/30 | $8.6M | -0.5% |
| 08/31 | $8.3M | -3.0% |
| 09/01 | $8.6M | +2.8% |
| 09/02 | $7.9M | -7.5% |
| 09/03 | $9.1M | +14.9% |
| 09/04 | $9.3M | +1.8% |
| 09/05 | $8.8M | -4.5% |
| 09/06 | $9.7M | +9.7% |
| 09/07 | $9.3M | -4.0% |
- 当前OI $9.3M,占近30日峰值的56%
- 近7天OI变化+9%
- 最近1日OI变化-4%
- 4h粒度:近24h OI加速下跌-9%
三、聪明钱 · 巨鲸 & 交易员调仓
| 时间 | 侧 | 多鲸 | 空鲸 | 多员 | 空员 | 多成本 | 空成本 |
|---|
| 08/05 00:02 | 多 | 73 | 54 | 303 | 343 | 0.0496973 | 0.0475596 |
| 08/07 09:48 | 空 | 57 | 53 | 320 | 342 | 0.0923714 | 0.0958068 |
| 08/09 19:48 | 空 | 53 | 55 | 309 | 316 | 0.121365 | 0.121452 |
| 08/12 05:48 | 空 | 57 | 52 | 218 | 277 | 0.083951 | 0.0911633 |
| 08/14 15:48 | 空 | 45 | 71 | 179 | 193 | 0.0771354 | 0.0772184 |
| 08/17 01:48 | 空 | 53 | 48 | 165 | 176 | 0.0711278 | 0.0713421 |
| 08/19 11:48 | 多 | 56 | 56 | 213 | 274 | 0.0594486 | 0.0579539 |
| 08/21 21:48 | 多 | 95 | 61 | 159 | 191 | 0.074647 | 0.0758108 |
| 08/24 07:33 | 多 | 45 | 98 | 138 | 185 | 0.0658279 | 0.0660563 |
| 08/26 17:33 | 多 | 79 | 67 | 186 | 169 | 0.0503168 | 0.0517491 |
| 08/29 03:33 | 空 | 56 | 94 | 154 | 166 | 0.0550462 | 0.0569995 |
| 08/31 13:33 | 空 | 53 | 97 | 143 | 204 | 0.0577615 | 0.0581089 |
| 09/02 23:33 | 多 | 56 | 102 | 147 | 188 | 0.0549436 | 0.0555488 |
| 09/05 09:33 | 空 | 66 | 86 | 143 | 139 | 0.0573689 | 0.0575899 |
| 09/07 19:33 | 多 | 29 | 36 | 50 | 57 | 0.0580794 | 0.0580979 |
- 数据跨度812小时(3247个快照)
- 多头巨鲸 73→29(-44)
- 空头巨鲸 54→36(-18)
- 多头交易员 303→50(-253)
- 空头交易员 343→57(-286)
- 多头成本 0.0497→0.05808(+16.9%)
- 空头成本 0.04756→0.0581(+22.2%)
- 多头浮盈亏 -2.9%
- 空头浮盈亏 +2.9%
四、资金费率走势
| 时间 | 费率 | |
|---|
| 09/04 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/04 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 04:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 08:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 12:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 16:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/05 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/06 00:00 | 0.0185% | |
| 09/06 04:00 | 0.0065% | |
| 09/06 08:00 | 0.0194% | |
| 09/06 12:00 | 0.0115% | |
| 09/06 16:00 | 0.0099% | |
| 09/06 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/07 00:00 | 0.0131% | |
| 09/07 04:00 | 0.0117% | |
| 09/07 08:00 | 0.0072% | |
| 09/07 12:00 | 0.0066% | |
| 09/07 16:00 | 0.0084% | |
| 09/07 20:00 | 0.0050% | |
| 09/08 00:00 | 0.0050% | |
五、阶段研判 · 机会裁决
阶段余震
信号起始08-26 05:47 @ 0.04707 · 至今+19.8%
置信度medium
空单目标仓位0%
机会裁决WATCH · 观望
周期第5轮 · 6.12×
垂直爆发已疯 (76%)
OI$9.3M (峰值50%)
距本轮峰值60.6% · 29天
二轮风险低 · 5%
价格可操纵度100%
深盘锚定0%
类比≈TUT 见顶后151天
30天腰斩概率12%
观察到的迹象
- 已暴涨又崩、还没死透:第5轮曾拉升6倍(垂直爆发75%),见顶后29天已崩61%,现价仍是最初起点的2.4倍
- 距本轮峰值61%,见顶后29天,进入余震绞肉区
- 近4h多头爆仓主导($0.06M,占76%)
- 二轮启动风险[低]≈5%:未见反弹动量,余震消退中
操作建议: 余震绞肉区,无明确方向/接近死透,观望
六、综合研判
信号统计: 0个看涨 vs 1个看跌
场景推演
余震归零
持续阴跌+OI不重建 → 持底仓空
二轮拉升
OI爆炸式重建+垂直反弹 → 立即平空